Propensity & ScoringADA Asia2022 – 2024Production

Opportunity Size Prediction

Predicts booking dollar value for leads and early-stage opportunities, enabling per-record expected value computation.

The Problem

Many opportunities have missing or unreliable CRM amounts. Without predicted sizes, pipeline projection expected value calculations were inaccurate for early-stage records.

What Was Built

XGBoost Regressor trained on account attributes, historical booking patterns, and product prediction inputs (from P14). Heuristic segment-average fallback for low-data scenarios. Feature selection via Information Value.

Business Impact

Enabled reliable per-record expected value computation (propensity × size) in the Pipeline Projection Engine for all leads and opportunities, including those with missing amounts.

Tech Stack

PythonXGBoostscikit-learnBigQuery

Domain Tags

Deal Size PredictionRevenue EstimationPipeline Intelligence

Details

Role
Primary Owner
Status
Production
Tier
Tier 1
Period
2022 – 2024
Employment
ADA Asia